Analysis | Four charts that analyze how the Omicron wave compares to previous coronavirus peaks

Analysis |  Four charts that analyze how the Omicron wave compares to previous coronavirus peaks

The United States has continued to see a huge surge in coronavirus cases caused by the Omicron variant, with numbers doubling from their previous high in January 2021.

DC in particular has been hit hard. Previously low on the U.S. list of Covid-hit areas, DC has become one of the worst coronavirus hotspots in the country, with a much higher case rate per capita than any other state, despite a relatively high vaccination rate of around 85 percent.

But despite the rise in the number of cases, death rates and heavy hospital admissions have not risen as much. Healthcare workers are cautiously waiting to see if the US Omicron wave will follow that of South Africa and London, where the variant has peaked and has caused relatively few deaths and hospitalizations.

So far, Omicron appears to be a lot more contagious, leading to a lot more cases. However, while the variant is more easily transmissible, it appears less likely to result in death or severe hospitalization.

Unlike previous waves, deaths and hospital admissions are drastically separating from cases, suggesting a decoupling of cases and serious illness.

It is important to note, however, that even if omicron only brings a third as many infected people to the hospital, if the cases continue to rise and the variants infect three times as many people, the same number will end up in the hospital despite the lower hospital stays, rating. The same goes for deaths.

The reduced severity of the disease could have a lot to do with the innate characteristics of Omicron and the protection offered by the vaccines. This can also be explained by improved treatment methods, although these effects are limited by the scarcity of antiviral pills. All of these factors could be responsible for fewer hospital admissions and fewer deaths – an unprotected population could have been hit much harder by Omicron.

South Africa serves as a best-case scenario for other nations that are also experiencing an omicron wave. The variant increased and decreased there very quickly, causing milder results and peaking without too many deaths.

However, the Africa CDC warns to immediately assume that Omicron’s leniency will be carried over to other countries, and points to South Africa’s unique status in terms of vaccination rates and demographics.

For example, Salim Abdool Karim, a leading South African infectious disease scientist, told the Washington Post that more than 70 percent of South African residents were previously infected with non-omicronic variants of the coronavirus and, as a result, may have more protection against omicron.

The country also has a relatively young population – the median age is 28 years, an entire decade lower than that of the United States, according to data from the Census Bureau.

Although cases in the UK as a whole continue to rise, London has already peaked while following a similar curve to South Africa.

If the rest of Britain follows London, there could be a stronger argument elsewhere in favor of Omicron’s declining austerity.

“Data from South Africa is crucial. Data from South Africa, the Netherlands, the United Kingdom and New York paint a more complete picture, ”said an official, who spoke on condition of anonymity given that he was not allowed to comment on the recordings.

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Rachel Meadows

Rachel Meadows

Trending topics news writer who enjoys cooking, walking her dog and travel.

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